This week s four-team teaser picks sees us taking three teams that are all short favorites and flipping them all the way to touchdown underdogs. Those teams are the Colts, Bengals and Chargers. We ve also bet up the Bucs to double-digit dogs instead of +3.
NFL Week 9 Teaser Picks
When it comes to Week 9 teaser picks, I feel we have way more options so let s go bigger here and lump four teams into our picks.
Buccaneers vs Texans
Pick: Buccaneers +10.5
The in this game make the Texans 3-point home favorites. Truthfully, that number alone still looks appealing to bet on the Bucs in any of your NFL upset picks. Have the Texans really done anything to warrant being 3-point favorites? Both teams are 3-4 SU as well as both being 4-3 ATS here and Houston just lost to the previously winless Carolina Panthers last week.
The Bucs are also coming off of a loss, but on TNF and to the Buffalo Bills in a game in which they hung around only losing 24-18. It s still a loss, but only by six points. And it was on the road, a place where two of the Bucs three wins have come.
When the Bucs have scored 20+ points they are 3-0. When the Texans have allowed 20+ points they re 0-3.
Both teams play to the Under with Tampa being 1-6 and Houston 2-5.
This may in fact come down to a field goal but I see little between these teams and neither pulling away. As such, adding some points to the Bucs and making them +10.5 in our Week 9 teaser picks looks the prudent play.
Colts vs Panthers
Pick: Colts +7.5
The Panthers and first overall pick Bryce Young got their first wins last week. Still, it took a game-ending 23-yard field goal from Eddy Pineiro to pull ahead and take the 15-13 win over fellow rookie QB CJ Stroud and the Houston Texans.
Carolina is now 1-6 SU and ATS and average 18.1 PPG which ranks 25th. That may be enough to cover as short underdogs or win outright. Afterall, the Colts are giving up a league-high 28.6 PPG. So this could be a big day for Young, Adam Thielen, Chubba Hubbard and others in Week 9 player props.
But the Panthers defense is also getting ripped apart averaging 28.4 PPG against and the Colts offense under backup QB Gardner Minshew is firing right now scoring 27 and 38 points in the previous two games despite taking losses in both games. Indianapolis is the only team to score 20+ points in every game this season.
Frank Reich may be motivated to get the win over his old team and he just may do it. But the Panthers won t pull away and beat the Colts by more than a touchdown in our NFL teaser picks.
Joe Burrow and the Bengals are heating up! 🔥
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Bills vs Bengals
Pick: Bengals +7.5
Cincinnati have now won three straight with Joe Burrow slowly rounding into form after a preseason calf injury. They re also on a 3-0 ATS run.
The Bengals have been money in this spot since 2022. As home favorites they are 8-2 ATS. That extends back to 2021 as well where they are 12-4.
The Bills may be 5-3 on the year but they ve just 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS in their past four. They ve also sufferd serious injuries across all defensive position groups.
Historically these teams have split the last four meetings, but Cincy is 5-2 in the last seven. The Bengals won the last meeting in the postseason last year 27-10 in Buffalo. In those past seven meetings, albeit dating way back to 2011 in that short sample size, the Bills two wins, in 2016 and 2019, came by four points on both occasions.
Jor Burrow is 4-0 in night games at home and Cincy could win outright. But if they don t I m betting it won t be by more than a touchdown.
Chargers vs Jets
Pick: Chargers +7.5
Neither of these teams are easy to trust. Both are coming off wins. But for the Chargers, it was over a rookie QB and a terrible Bears defense while playing at home on SNF. For the Jets, it was an ugly, ugly 13-10 overtime win over the Giants, despite the G-Men playing with a third-string quarterback and totaling an impossible-to-imagine minus-9 passing yards.
The Chargers and Justin Herbert have been inconsistent, but they certainly won t finish with negative passing yards. But the Jets defense is certainly capable of slowing them down ranking fifth in passing yards allowed. But then the Jets offense is not capable of pulling away from anyone. The Jets have one win by more than six points in their past 14 games.
Week 9 NFL Teaser picks: Bucs +10.5 / Colts +7.5 / Bengals +7.5 / Chargers +7.5 (-109); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Season record: 6-10. -4.59 units
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